55 Comments
Jan 24Liked by Dustin Rowles

"Biden has proven singularly immune to the attacks from Donald Trump. Ron DeSantis curled up in a ball and cried. Joe Biden brushes it off like dandruff. Trump’s name-calling and bullying are all malarkey to Joe Biden."

A friend and I were discussing, a couple weeks ago, how our parents told us to just ignore bullies and they'll stop because all they want is a reaction, and how they never told us that "pretend to ignore when you're obviously really upset" counts as a reaction and you actually have to NOT CARE what the bully says or does.

Biden actually doesn't care -- he does the equivalent of lowering his sunglasses, looking Trump up and down, snorting derisively, going "...K" and walking away, and I love that about him.

Expand full comment

Also "will you shut up man?" Best debate moment ever.

Expand full comment
Jan 24·edited Jan 24

Biden, every time Trump starts, *deep sigh* “c’mon man…”

It really is what makes him the best opponent to Trump. Everyone else rises to the bait/gets down in the mud, Biden just smirks and shakes his head.

Expand full comment

Its the benefit of experience - you know that "old guy" thing the youths are so obsessed with?

Expand full comment

Another thing bullies really hate is when you, with no buildup or posturing, just punch them square in the face while they are in the middle of the posturing and "wanna fight, bro?" stage.

Expand full comment

I was gonna say something similar. Sometimes a bully just needs to get popped in the mouth to put back on their heels. But with Trump, he'll play the strongman and the victim card at the exact same time - and his followers are so dumb, they'll believe both.

Expand full comment

It's a uniquely autocratic talent he's got.

Expand full comment

I can't imagine the level of humiliation if/when Haley loses in her home state. How embarrassing. Of course this was always going to come down to Trump v Biden. What is going to be SO interesting to me is watching people, even Dems, twist themselves into knots to make the 3 year age difference between 2 old men seem like it's a massive divide. No. It's not. You're either voting for the crazy old man who screams at the sky and has outright promised to be a dictator, or you're voting for the sane old man who sometimes has a stutter. That's your choice. Otherwise, go ahead write in Dean f'ing Phillips, and try to enjoy life under King Trump.

Expand full comment

Would I like to vote for a younger candidate who can pound Trump into political death? Sure. We haven't found them after 5 years. Until then, I'm quite fine with the older guy who's got Trump's number and can brush him off like the dandruff he is.

Expand full comment

I'm fine with the age thing, honestly.

1) trump and Biden are the same age, for all practical purposes.

2) ageism is just as bullshit as any other discriminatory -ism.

3) I think the young people are waiting until Biden (and trump) are done leading their respective parties. We'll see them (finally!) start showing up in 2028.

4) Biden is a solid Dem choice who won't make things worse. He's done well at what most Dem president's do (at least in my lifetime): Clean up a previous republican POTUS's mess.

Expand full comment

One hopes that a majority of the electorate thinks like you.

Expand full comment

Forgot to add, the people who wrote in Dean Phillips need shaken.

Expand full comment

Dean Phillips has been all over N.H. yelling that the DNC, in removing N.H. from first place in the primary, has disrespected them and Biden is their head so BIDEN is disrespecting them, etc. I do wonder if some of those votes are just people mad that the DNC isn’t acknowledging NH’s primary and this is how they show it? Because Dean Phillips doesn’t have that level of support.

Expand full comment

I'm pretty sure Republicans at this point are beyond humiliating - you can't humiliate someone who has no pride or self-respect in the first place.

Expand full comment

She’s projected to lose badly. I see the GOP are yelling at her to drop out today.

Expand full comment

What is frustrating are people acting like Haley is a good alternative to Trump. She’s for a federal abortion ban. She’s anti-Muslim. We know she doesn’t believe in racism. She’s a hot mess. The only thing she’s doing is causing Trump to spend money.

Expand full comment

That's why I'm hoping she stays in. Bleed that guy dry.

Expand full comment

She’s funded by Koch Bros, right? At this point, short of funding Biden (which they’d never do), the best way to stop Trump is to force him to fight an expensive primary against Haley until the SC primary, when it will all be over. I wonder how much money they’re willing to spend to stop Trump.

Expand full comment

I wouldn't hold my breath waiting on that strategy. The Koch brothers have no deep rooted affinity for Haley, and while they would prefer someone other than Trump leading the Republican party, they know they'll ultimately be fine regardless. Funding her through New Hampshire was fine because Trump's expected romp was only theoretical at that point, but now that it's crystallizing, they're not going to keep throwing good money after bad. There is exactly zero momentum on Haley's side - no one except Democrats are crowing about her performance in NH and she's expected to get demolished in her home state (where all of the other senior GOP politicians have fallen in line behind the other guy - she doesn't have a single meaningful endorsement from her home state). The Koch's will cut bait soon enough which will be right around the time she announces she's suspending her campaign.

Expand full comment

CNN has an exit poll out where they asked New Hampshire voters whether Biden legitimately won in 2020.:

AMONG TRUMP VOTERS

Yes: 17%

No: 80%

AMONG HALEY VOTERS

Yes: 83%

No: 15%

Proving, once again, that displaying your loyalty by clinging to lies is a hallmark of the MAGA cult.

Make America Grift Again.

Expand full comment

Quit making my eyes cross in apoplexy, Mr. B!

"The purpose of Nazi propaganda was not to brainwash ordinary Germans, and it was not intended to deceive the masses even though it did enable the movement to gain new recruits. The principal objective, according to historian Neil Gregor, was “to absorb the individual into a mass of like-minded people, and the purpose of the ‘suggestion’ was not to deceive but to articulate that which the crowd already believed.”"

How Hitler Conquered Germany, by NICHOLAS O’SHAUGHNESSY

MARCH 14, 2017

https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2017/03/how-nazi-propaganda-encouraged-the-masses-to-co-produce-a-false-reality.html

Expand full comment

This is just the fascist playbook thats been used all over the world, the nazis didn't invent it but one could argue they perfected it. The enemy is simultaneously all powerful and too weak to fight back . Truth is not truth etc. The fact that this kind of shit still works on people at all is the real tragedy.

Expand full comment

Tom in a different sub-comment said, "But with Trump, he'll play the strongman and the victim card at the exact same time".

The ability to do both - portray one self as the weaker party and the target as the powerful and *also* yourself a strong aggressor and the Other as the weak is a skill that shouldn't exist, but it sure as hell does.

Expand full comment

I think it requires that the audience identify with the leader figure first. Once that is achieved, the leader can do anything.

Expand full comment

I think we need to be honest about why he "won" in the first place. 2016 was a weird confluence of events that won't likely be repeated. Half the democratic base got suckered by a guy who promised them the moon with no way to deliver. No one took him seriously as a candidate in the first place, including him. Especially in the media. Both candidates were super unpopular among middle of the road voters. Fairly or not. I can't tell you how many "Giant Meteor 2016" bumper stickers I saw that year. And Hillary did kind of give up halfway through the summer thinking she had it in the bag. None of those things will be happening this year.

We know what he will do if he gets back in there. He's telling us point blank he's going be a dictator. He has an actual record to run on now. And he's never been popular with moderates who mostly assumed Hillary would beat him back in 2016. Throw in the fact that he's been in the news nonstop for ten years and Trump Fatigue is a real thing. Barring an economic collapse on Biden's watch, I don't see him losing to this guy. That's not to say there won't be problems. We're 11 months out from the election. Anything could happen. And we still have people on our side putting Gaza ahead of the country they actually live in. But I just don't see him winning again. People are sick of seeing his face.

Expand full comment

Also there was the Pulse nightclub shooting in June, and both Obama and Clinton stopped campaign events for a few weeks(? I think, I know Obama was gone from the campaign trail longer) out of respect for that. One of those cancelled events was when she was supposed to go to Wisconsin.

And then there was James Comey’s interference, which was even more blatantly hypocritical when Trump was also under investigation starting in July 2016 for Russian collusion and Comey of course said nothing about that publicly.

Expand full comment

I blame Comey and the news media myself. But that’s just me.

Expand full comment

I have always blamed Comey. When he came out against Trump with the "Lordy I hope there are tapes," and so many people were praising and swooning, I was always like, "How quickly they forget."

Expand full comment

Even if he loses, even if people are truly sick of seeing his face and listening to him talk... I wish that actually meant he would go away for good. He's going to be a persistent thorn in the American political process until the day he dies. Shit, we'll probably still hear about him for another 20 years after that. I mean, look how long people have been writing and talking about Nixon after the fact.

Expand full comment

The results in New Hampshire are interesting compared to Iowa - especially when you don't have record-low wind chills to explain why there wasn't a bigger turnout.

I guess I'm just trying to avoid getting too far ahead of my skis when it comes to the inevitable Trump/Biden rematch.

My worry are the Republican voters who also see Trump's nomination as inevitable. Why vote in the primaries when the race is down to two candidates?

That independents came out to vote AGAINST Trump is the only upside I'm seeing so far. I just don't want to be blindsided by hope.

Expand full comment

The media wants a close race but this was over before it even begun. Either the GOP fractures under the weight of its divisions or we have Donald Trump as a dictator in 2025 destroying the government from the inside. These were always the only futures we were destined for. The American people have made their bed with the con man and we all have to deal with him now whether we like it or not.

Expand full comment

It’s a nitpick but I’d say Biden winning so handily when he wasn’t even on the ballot with a word of mouth write in campaign says more than “he’ll do”.

Expand full comment

Our little city democratic party sent 1000 postcards to NH voters telling them how to write in Joe Biden. They are doing postcards for Santos seat, too.

Expand full comment

On the ground here on Long Island, thanks for the help! We want that Santos seat back so we have incumbency going into the November election.

Expand full comment

Seem to be seeing mixed opinions today from the pundit class that Haley will be dropping out any minute now or she’s in it for the long haul. Probably depends on her fundraising abilities in the next few days? Anyway, I hope she stays in because it makes trump even more unhinged and incoherent with rage and he’ll spend all his time screaming about her and continuing to turn off college educated repubs and independents. And yeah, she’s no better. Said she would pardon trump, not veto a national abortion ban and LOVES to dog whistle how scary it would be to have a PRESIDENT Kamala Harris. Republican Party from top to bottom is total garbage and nominating a racist, a misogynistic sexual assaulter and an utter moron like trump should be the end of the party, but sadly this country is full to the brim of people that share his attributes.

Expand full comment

It's all about the money right now. It was unspoken in last week's DeSantis DeBail, but someone or someones obviously cut Ron off from their checkbooks.

Expand full comment

the amount of money it takes to run a credible presidential campaign by necessity means that it comes down to the donors/Super PACs more than anything. Once that tap turns off, its done.

Expand full comment

How satisfyingly awesome was it to see Hair Hitler embarrass that sycophantic toady, Tim Scott, only for Scott to turn around and tell Mein Führer that he loves him? It was just so cringe.

Expand full comment

Ugh! What insult(s) did Scott grin and take today? I'm still cringing at his Trump endorsement speech when he used activist Fannie Lou Hamer's "sick and tired of being sick and tried" and tried to add some preacher oration tone to it.

Expand full comment

Not sure if posting links works here...

https://twitter.com/Acyn/status/1749985772852199687

If not, here it is again, just remove the space

https://twitter.com/Acyn/status/ 1749985772852199687

Expand full comment

Thank you for the link. Not one iota of self respect in him. The cringe I just cringed. Have to go to the chiropractor now. Such a BEC. I cannot put into words ow much I loathe this man.

Expand full comment

At the risk of courting the wrath of the whatever from high atop the thing, I increasingly do not think it is realistic or plausible that this country elects Donald Trump president in 2024. Not against Joe Biden especially for the unique reasons you reference, but also not against nearly any challenger however flawed. Hillary Clinton would trounce Trump in the upcoming election - I don't care what polls say. Trump just freaks too many people out.

In 2016, lots of people could tell themselves that Trump might "shake things up" or even prove a refreshingly moderate anti-partisan through all the bluster. Now, after he tried to violently overthrow the government, is facing 90+ criminal indictments, and is plainly signaling his plan to turn the entire civil service and executive branch into an arm of terrifyingly authoritarian autocracy, nobody can comfort themselves similarly this time around. If the US elects Trump, it is essentially sanctioning revolutionary regime change to a wholly difference form of government to the one we've had since the founding.

I do not think that the material conditions exist, or are remotely close to existing, to support a revolution of any kind in the United States. Yes, our vibes are worse than our reality, and yes, grievance has become a kind of social and political currency - nobody can say that things are actually going relatively well because doing so would be lame and cringe. But when faced with the reality of plunging headlong into dictatorship (which the media, to it's slight credit, is correctly framing the stakes of this race as), I think the public will sober up pretty quickly.

My opinion is that if Trump is the nominee, Biden declares victory around 10pm on election night. This isn't a call to relax, but a general belief that the country doesn't have quite the deathwish we worry it might have.

Expand full comment

One hopes that in November, with Trump as the candidate, the Trump-haters stay home rather than vote for "whoever the Republican candidate is, rather than a Democrat." That would happen if they hated Dems more than they hate Trump, I think.

I'd like to see Haley run as an independent spoiler. That would drag GOP votes away from TFG.

Expand full comment

No it won't. That only happens to Democrats. The GOP voters will all fall in line the way they always do.

Expand full comment
founding

🎼 How were they to know, he was with the Russians too?

https://youtu.be/F2HH7J-Sx80?si=-HTrjLh80hrrZVHt

Expand full comment

Something that's been flying under the radar is the Nevada primary/caucus conflict. I don't know much about it, but it should be front & center and ripe for national drama for the next few weeks.

After that, South Carolina at the end of February. (UGH . . another month?) The real question is if Haley can pick up all those non-Trump votes and keep her gap above 40 to 55, of if her home state will kick her ass 25 to 75.

All those 'conscientious conservatives' have never prayed harder for a massive heart attack, assassin, meteor, or bolt of lighting in their lives.

Expand full comment

I think we need to stop pretending this is a real race. Trump will win handily because his sycophants will utterly destroy Nikki Haley until she steps aside for him. But I don't think it will even come to that because She doesn't have the support amongst actual Republicans to make this a race (and she knows it - this run was all about building her profile for 2028).

Expand full comment

I think once it starts moving to the Southern states she’s toast myself.

Expand full comment

I'm taken aback by Trump supporters crowing about the many Trump "records" being set during a primary that was always pre-determined. Did these people really think there was an option to Trump? The Republican party is his. They are going to vote for him. Ron? Vivek? Chris? Nikki? They are all inferior versions of the same exact message, one of anger, fear, grievence, and retribution.

I'm thinking this is bravado to convince everyone that Trump is really popular. Because they cannot be surprised by this. Right??

Expand full comment

This your first time voting? He's been saying this shit since 2016. It literally started with his inauguration where his press secretary tried to make the case for it being bigger than Obama's when it was abundantly obvious it was much much smaller. And it never stopped after that.

Hyperbole and wild exaggeration is his stock in trade

Expand full comment

You love to see it.

Expand full comment
founding
Jan 24·edited Jan 24

What I assume about Haley is that she is staying in and hoping the neurological decline Trump had been displaying on what seems like an increasing basis - confusing Pelosi and Haley most recently - gets significantly worse soon.

While I’m sure a segment of the MAGA crowd would laud him dropping trou and screaming at invisible monsters on stage, there is a non-zero chance it might get bad enough to sink him before the convention.

Expand full comment